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Caribou Sandstorm
04-18-2010, 06:02 PM
I have been peeking into the 10 day forcast for the last few days and thought I would start a thread....

Here is the weather link I am using via MSN..If you have a better or different one post it up.... So far things are looking great for the weekend prior and early part of of CM week!

http://weather.msn.com/tenday.aspx?wealocations=wc:USUT0165&q=Moab%2c+UT+forecast:tenday

FJBRADY
04-18-2010, 06:57 PM
62 on Sunday.....could you warm that up please.

rover67
04-18-2010, 07:43 PM
Hey Chris,

No matter what happens the weather will be great.

No worries.

Forcast from Marco:

Evenings:
Sunny, 60, and beer in hand talking about a great day of wheeling.

Nights:
Nights will be cool enough to enjoy a nice fire, but not too cool. I don't know what temperature that correlates with.

Days:
72 and sunny. Nice cool bottle of water from the fridge to wet your whistle when you need it. Good tunes on the radio.

J Kimmel
04-18-2010, 09:46 PM
Sounds like a good forecast Marco, go ahead and put me down as a reference when you apply for 9News.



Hey Chris,

No matter what happens the weather will be great.

No worries.

Forcast from Marco:

Evenings:
Sunny, 60, and beer in hand talking about a great day of wheeling.

Nights:
Nights will be cool enough to enjoy a nice fire, but not too cool. I don't know what temperature that correlates with.

Days:
72 and sunny. Nice cool bottle of water from the fridge to wet your whistle when you need it. Good tunes on the radio.

nakman
04-18-2010, 09:48 PM
I like Marco's forecast: Mostly great with a slight chance of awesome, occasional elations after 6:00 pm..



I hope we get some light afternoon rains, just enough to knock the dust down and allow the shorties to build sand castles... remember that BFE is at 6100', so take whatever you would have worn at Slickrock and add a layer. No matter how hot it gets by day we'll all likely be in sweatshirts and jeans at night.

Caribou Sandstorm
04-19-2010, 12:19 AM
That is an awesome forcast, Marco. You know me all to well.. I am stressing about the one thing I can't control....

I am super physched about going early for the 2nd annual pre-CM weekend run! 6 days out....

I put the big meats on yesterday, getting pretty fast at that. Only took 45 minutes...hahaha..I know that is not that fast..

I know a bunch of you all are covered but in case you are doing some last minute tent shopping, I pulled the trigger on a new family tent, the big one that is displayed at Costco right now. We needed a connected screened room with a floor to contain the rugrats and afford them a play area... $129.00..Looked it up on Coleman's website going for 289.00.. I hope the site I was planning on is big enough.

http://www.coleman.com/coleman/images/products/2000001588_500.jpg

Bighead
04-19-2010, 05:56 AM
I use the NOAA forecast for work purposes and it seems to be the most accurate for the different places I go to around the country. NOAA.gov - Moab, UT (http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Moab&state=UT&site=GJT&textField1=38.5733&textField2=-109.549&e=0)

waggoner5
04-19-2010, 09:06 AM
I hope the weather turns out better than forcasted. BFE will be wetter than Moab though because of the mountains and higher elevation. Everyone should be prepared for some wet days for sure. This crap stresses me out as well Chris.

Air Randy
04-19-2010, 05:27 PM
Hey Chris,

No matter what happens the weather will be great.

No worries.

Forcast from Marco:

Evenings:
Sunny, 60, and beer in hand talking about a great day of wheeling.

Nights:
Nights will be cool enough to enjoy a nice fire, but not too cool. I don't know what temperature that correlates with.

Days:
72 and sunny. Nice cool bottle of water from the fridge to wet your whistle when you need it. Good tunes on the radio.

Marco, you left out the part about passing the whiskey jug around the camp fire. No matter how cold or wet it gets, a little pain killer can make it all right.

Groucho
04-20-2010, 07:04 AM
I like the hop/barley:beer: beverage outlook in the afternoons that is forecast, and I'm not sure how much faith I put in the weatherman or Farmers Almanac, but here it is:

Moab, Utah Farmers Almanac outlook (http://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/UT/Moab)

Looks like rain and snow for Moab during April 28-30, and Rain turning sunny and seasonable May 1-4.

A slightly better forecast can be found here:

Weather.com forecast for Moab Utah (http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/USUT0165)

But it calls for rain as well.

I'm getting some wet weather gear ready. Tarps. Maybe a few extra pairs of shoes and sox. Checking the camper heater...

Caribou Sandstorm
04-20-2010, 09:44 AM
Well if this is accurate.. And it seems to change for the better every day..

No rain on Tuesday is good..As all is being set up..

Rain on Wednesday might be a nice welcome if the high will be 77 degrees

Thinking of bringing more tarps also. Can always use an extra tarp or 2..

Nathaniel, good idea to bring more extra shoes, reminded me to do the same!

DaveInDenver
04-20-2010, 10:14 AM
My bud who was in Moab last weekend said they were wishing for rain, it's hot and dusty already. Upper Porcupine trail is even open and mostly snow-free.

Caribou Sandstorm
04-20-2010, 12:49 PM
I did not see any snow either while at BFE...

It did snow and rain during the Easter Jeep Safari.

Caribou Sandstorm
04-20-2010, 12:51 PM
Just checked my weather link....

0% chance of rain Sunday-Tuesday, Wedensday 10%, Thursday 0%....:cheers::cheers::cheers::cheers:

waggoner5
04-20-2010, 01:53 PM
Sounding better and better everyday. A little rain in the eves would be nice for sleeping anyway.

Caribou Sandstorm
04-23-2010, 10:18 AM
Just checked Weatherchannel's web site.

http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/USUT0165

Looks like Saturday though Tuesday is Golden, so far, 72-78 degrees..

Wednesday 63 issolated thunderstorms.

Thursday 61 issolated thunderstorms.

Friday 67 says Few SHowers

Saturday 63 just says showers..

Sunday is back to issolated showers and 68

Groucho
04-23-2010, 11:11 AM
Wet and cold.

The XYL is not liking the outlook.

I guess I need to make sure the camper has a fresh coat of Sno-Seal on all the vital areas, and that I have a full tank of propane and the batteries are all charged.

DaveInDenver
04-23-2010, 11:41 AM
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

FXUS65 KGJT 230941
AFDGJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
341 AM MDT FRI APR 23 2010

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS ALONG THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

A STRONG LATE SEASON WINTER STORM WILL BE CENTERED OVER SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TODAY. MOISTURE WILL ROTATE AROUND THE LOW CENTER AND COVER
MUCH OF WESTERN CO AND EASTERN UT WITH CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION.
NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL ENHANCE SNOWFALL ON ALL NORTH-
FACING SLOPES. THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST CO NEAR THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE SHOULD SEE THE HIGHEST AACCUMULATIONS..THIS WINTER
STORM WARNING CONTINUE FOR CO ZONES 4...9...13...10...AND 12.
ADVISORIES CONTINUE FOR ZONES 3 AND 18...WHICH WILL BE A LITTLE
FURTHER AWAY FROM THE BEST MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS. A STRONG TROWAL
SIGNATURE IS PROJECTED TO REMAIN OVER MUCH OF COLORADO THIS
EVENING...AND START SLIDING EAST LATE TONIGHT. THE ETA AND GFS MOVE
THE LOW CENTER STEADILY EAST TONIGHT...THUS THE MOISTURE WILL ERODE
TO THE EAST LATE.

SATURDAY WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS SKIES
SHOULD CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST. BY SUNSET SATURDAY A WEAK RIDGE AND
NW FLOW ARE PROJECTED OVER THE AREA. HAVE DECREASED CLOUDS AND PRECIP
SIGNIFICANTLY SAT AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER SE UT AND SW
CO...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAINING OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

WEAK RIDGE AXIS PASSES OVERHEAD EARLY SUNDAY. AN EMBEDDED
DISTURBANCE IS INDICATED BY THE GFS AND WOULD HELP WITH SHOWERS OVER
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN CO. THE NEXT SYSTEM TRACKING OVER
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES DIGS SOUTH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SKIRTING THE NORTHERN BOUNDARY OF OUR FORECAST AREA. A FEW SHOWERS
SHOULD FORM OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN NORTHEAST UT AND
NORTHWEST CO. THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST FAIRLY QUICKLY AND ANOTHER
RIDGE FORMS WEST OF THE AREA.

THE RIDGE WILL BUILD AND SLIDE EAST AND OVERHEAD BY TUESDAY. EXPECT
DRIER CONDITIONS WITH ONLY A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO. MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY.

AFTER THIS SHORT BREAK THE NEXT PAC SYSTEM MOVES INLAND LATER
TUESDAY AND TURNS THE FLOW ALOFT SOUTHWESTERLY WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASE OF MOISTURE BY MID WEEK. LATEST MODELS ARE IN BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF THIS NEXT SYSTEM. HAVE
INCREASED POPS WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AS A JET AND ASSOCIATED
SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVE OVER THE AREA. THE FIRST LOW CENTER WILL EJECT
NORTHEAST AND MOVE NORTH OF EASTERN UT AND WESTERN CO. ANOTHER LOW
WILL SWING AROUND THE THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE FIRST AND BECOME CUT
OFF OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN US. WE SHOULD SEE UNSETTLED PATTERN
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...

GENERAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...WITH AREAS OF IFR
CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY IN SNOWFALL AND LOW CEILINGS...
ESPECIALLY OVER ALL THE MOUNTAINS AND PASSES. THE SNOW LEVEL SHOULD
HOVER BETWEEN 6500 AND 7500 FEET.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES UNTIL TO 6 AM MDT SATURDAY FOR
ZONE 018.
...WINTER STORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 6AM MDT SATURDAY FOR ZONE
009.
...WINTER STORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL NOON MDT SATURDAY FOR ZONES
004-010-012-013.
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY FOR
ZONE 003. UT...NONE.


This is not a terrible forecast since it describes generally improving conditions with relatively small chances for soaking rains.

Grand Junction NOAA NWS Zone Map. Moab is in the southwest corner of NWS GJ Zone 27 and the western La Sals are Zone 28. BFE I believe lies mostly in zone 27 just north of zone 29.

18303

Nay
04-25-2010, 08:31 PM
Current forecast is a closed low pressure sitting just northwest of the four corners for pretty much the entire 3 days (Thu-Sat).

Sounds like "variable" weather is going to be about as good as we can hope for.